The Draft Decision That Haunts John Elway: Passing on Josh Allen in the 2018 NFL Draft

The complexities of managing an NFL franchise can often be encapsulated in the decisions made during the draft, a key moment where careers and legacies are shaped. For John Elway, the former general manager of the Denver Broncos, one decision continues to cast a shadow over his tenure: passing on quarterback Josh Allen in the 2018 NFL Draft.

Missed Opportunities

John Elway, a Hall of Fame quarterback and revered figure in Broncos history, took on a significant responsibility when he rejoined the organization in 2011 as the director of player personnel. Promoted to executive vice president of football operations the following year, Elway's early years in the executive suite were marked by success. His role in assembling the team that would win Super Bowl 50 in the 2015 season showcased his capability, as reflected in an impressive 64-26 record in his first five seasons as general manager.

The Decision at the 2018 Draft

However, the 2018 NFL Draft presented Elway with a pivotal choice that would later be a source of regret. With the fifth overall pick, Elway opted for Bradley Chubb, a pass rusher from NC State, rather than Wyoming quarterback Josh Allen. At the time, Elway was optimistic about Case Keenum's potential to lead the team. Yet, this decision would prove costly, as the Broncos’ quarterback turmoil continued.

Reflecting on the Past

Reflecting on this decision, Elway expressed his regret in a candid moment: "Last year I played [golf] with him and I'm wondering, 'How long is it going to take him to realize that I passed on him and took Bradley Chubb instead?' And it took him two and a half holes. And I loved him. But it just didn't work out. He was my type. That was probably my biggest mistake of my GM days, was not taking Josh."

Chubb's Challenges and Departure

Bradley Chubb's tenure with the Broncos was marred by health issues, preventing him from becoming the consistent defensive force the team had envisioned. His eventual trade to the Miami Dolphins signaled the end of an era that had hoped to build a resolute defense around his talents.

Denver's Quarterback Carousel

Meanwhile, Josh Allen has flourished with the Buffalo Bills, becoming one of the league's premier quarterbacks. This contrast highlights a significant missed opportunity for the Broncos. Since the retirement of Peyton Manning following the 2015 season, Denver has been on a relentless search for stability at the quarterback position, cycling through 13 different starting quarterbacks. This revolving door under center has played a significant role in the franchise's failure to make the playoffs since their Super Bowl victory.

A Record of Two Halves

Elway’s tenure can be divided into two starkly contrasting halves. While the first five years were characterized by a record-setting winning percentage and a Super Bowl triumph, the latter half saw the team’s fortunes falter, ending with a 32-48 record. The inability to secure a long-term solution at the quarterback position was a significant factor in this decline. The failed experiment with Paxton Lynch, who was drafted in 2016 but started only four games before being released in 2018, further exacerbated the issue.

The End of an Era

In the wake of these challenges, Elway stepped away from his role following the 2020 season. His tenure as general manager remains a case study in the high stakes and intense scrutiny that come with assembling an NFL team. The bittersweet nature of his legacy serves as a reminder of just how impactful draft decisions can be. While Elway's early successes should not be overshadowed, his own admission of regret regarding Josh Allen underscores the complexities and pressures of the role he once held.